Wednesday 24 July 2013

The Importance of Natural Capital



Natural Capital


What is Natural Capital?


The concept of Natural Capital encompasses Earth’s limited resources, that is, clean water, breathable air, and the liveable climate to name a few. Given the dependency of numerous organisations on natural capital, the concept is poised to become much more significant on the agenda of internal discussions within companies.

Whilst it is highly difficult to measure the value of all the natural capital on the planet, that has not hindered attempts to do so. Valued at 47 trillion USD (for 17 of the world’s ecosystems)[1], the value of the ecosystems are insurmountable given the scope of resources the term “natural capital” encompasses.

Why Will There Be Constraints on Natural Capital?


Items key to the advancement of the planet such as globalisation, wealth, urbanisation, material use, population and climate change are all interconnected affecting each other in varying ways forming what has been described as a “nexus” by organisations such as KPMG[2]. Analysing all listed items in turn, it is evident to see how they are interconnected.

Using a similar example in KPMG’s 2012 report, “Expect the Unexpected: Building business value in a changing world”, an increase in wealth (and thus a growth in the middle class) w4ill very likely increase the demand for goods and services, in turn, placing more stress on producers and supply chains. The added pressure will result in added pressure on natural and resource capital to deliver these goods and services. In order to feed the growing population, agriculture will be pressure to provide more food, putting increased strain on the planets waters supply. A growing middle class will likely lead to more individuals migrating to cities (i.e. urbanisation) again putting strain on natural and resource capital to feed, clothe, and meet demand for items and services which are essential such as power.

However, to the astute mind, it is clear that for these projections, there is a key point missing. How are these resources being maintained? It is both unsustainable, and irresponsible to continue consuming these resources assuming their supply is infinite. The supply of fresh water on the planet for example is extremely limited relative to (undrinkable) saltwater, and the means to create more fresh water from seawater, is an extremely energy intensive process, for the time being. Increased agriculture does not account for erosion of the topsoil, and depletion of key nutrients required to produce basic crops. Urbanisation also fails to account for the impact of migrations from areas where climate change has had a particularly damaging effect.

The Growing Importance of Natural Capital


For an organisation, financial reporting is highly developed having been utilised for decades to determine a myriad of metrics and values that determine the success (and sometimes failures) of the organisation and usually where they have occurred. However, the standard and more common means of reporting (financial reporting) fails to account how sustainably the organisation is operating. It is to the detriment of the organisations long-term success if no consideration is made regarding how that performance was obtained – more so to the planets detriment. How can than the organisation continue to operate if value is being destroyed as time advances?

Whilst natural capital has seldom been included in internal corporate dialogue or business strategies, the Rio+20 United Nations Conference on Sustainability showed a change having what was considered a surprising outcome: the signing of the Natural Capital Declaration[3] by 39 global financial institutions, primarily from Europe and Latin America.

Further, items such as water security served as key items on the agenda highlighting how organisations are now beginning to consider the risk associated with a natural capital constrained world. This act represented the positive change of mentality by corporation to act responsibly; to operate in a manner that will not endanger the wellbeing of our planet in years to come.

Whilst it is not currently included in reporting, it appears to certainly be on the horizon representing that crucial first step. A joint KPMG-ACCA report (2012) concluded that over 50% of CEOs and CFO’s include natural capital in their business-risk evaluation, and 49% highlighting that natural capital was linked “operational, regulatory, reputational, and financial risks”[4]. It is clear that companies will be under greater scrutiny to at least measure their natural capital impacts.

There is also a growing sense of urgency amongst large organisations to show leadership with regards to the preservation of natural capital. Coca-Cola for example has reportedly assigned a monetary value to the natural resources it utilises such as fresh water in collaboration with The Nature Conservancy (TNC) and World Wildlife Fund[5].

Further, as of July of this year (2013), major retailers in the building sector have agreed on new water efficiency labelling[6] marking a key first step to making the initiative widespread in many other sectors.

What are international organisations doing to facilitate understanding?


To better facilitate the understanding of “natural capital”, organisations such as TEEB (the Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity) convened by the UN, the EU, and International Union, aim to demystify the concept and have companies  develop a “universal understanding” of what the true value of natural capital is and why it must be preserved.

Scenario Analysis


A key point to note is that from a company’s viewpoint, it is necessary to understand that the insecurity of natural capital will result in supply chain constraints; particularly for sectors which are more dependent on natural capital, such as water, or forestry reserves.

Whilst climate change is recognised as a key risk, for risk assessment, it is not enough to just recognise it as a risk. Analysis must be completed to determine where there is risk bourne from natural capital limitations. An organisation and its departments, or business areas, will have varying exposures to the dangers of climate change and the concept of sustainability. It is up to the organisation as a whole to gather and hold a meaningful dialogue – free of technical vocabulary, to allow all members to engage – and determine which products, services, departments, etc. are exposed, and to what degree. Then and only then, can action be taken that will serve its intended purpose: to make the organisation more sustainable.

Conclusion

Natural Capital has traditionally not been a key item on the agenda of an organisation’s internal dialogues with regards to conservation, but as time has passed, the issue of climate change, has pushed sustainability and by extension natural to the forefront of internal communications. Tools are being developed, and work is being undertaken to more accurately measure the value of natural capital in order to implement more effective means of preserving the resource. However, this action needs to be implemented at an enhanced speed to prevent unfavourable circumstances such as conflict or utter destruction, which is detrimental not only for business, but to everyone on the planet.

Written by Jimmy Olet


[1] State of Green Business 2013 – Joel Makower and Associates (2013)
[2] KPMG (2012). Expect the Unexpected: Building business value in a changing world
[3] http://www.naturalcapitaldeclaration.org/
[4] www.kpmg.com/UK/en/IssuesAndInsights/ArticlesPublications/Documents/PDF/Tax/natural-capital.pdf
[5] http://www.2degreesnetwork.com/groups/managing-sustainability/resources/natural-capital-accounting-essential-tool-sustainable-future/
[6] http://www.edie.net/news/4/Major-retailers-agree-on-new-water-efficiency-labelling/

Monday 15 July 2013

Could leadership change save the Australian Carbon Market?

26th June saw the latest chapter in the see-sawing power struggle within the Australian Labor Party (ALP).

After a land-slide victory in 2008, spearheaded by Kevin Rudd, the party’s popularity began to slide year on year, resulting in Julia Gillard staging a successful ‘coup’ in 2010 and ending in Kevin Rudd’s reinstatement as leader of the party and ultimately Prime Minister in 2013.

Often referred to as unpopular within the party, but a hit with the electorate, Rudd has a strong history on environmental issues, having described global warming as "the greatest moral challenge of our time". Mr Rudd's popularity nose-dived when he decided to shelve his original emissions trading scheme, a decision he later described as a “mistake”.

It is hoped Rudd’s reinstatement will stem the consistent loss of voters, and if not secure another term, at least minimise the impact of what polls suggested would be a resounding defeat.

Environmentalists the world over will be hoping this is so, as running throughout all of this is the issue of Carbon Pricing, enshrined in the Clean Energy Future Act (CEFA).

Although seen as unpopular by many at the time, and despite the criticisms aimed at the scheme, Carbon Pricing has brought about significant change.

In fact through a fixed price of around $25 AUS per tonne of carbon, Australian carbon emissions are at a 10 year low. Coal generation is down, and cleaner alternatives are up; wind generation is at 3.8 per cent, hydro 8.7 per cent and gas at 12.7 per cent of the National Electricity Market. [1]

Public opinion is also supportive of the scheme. Fewer voters want to see the carbon tax removed now than before it took effect on July 1 last year. Nearly half, or 48%, wanted the tax scrapped a year ago, compared to only 37% of respondents in a recent Climate Institute poll.[2]

In spite of all this, waiting in the wings to become the next PM of Australia is Tony Abbott, leader of the Liberal Party who recently swore:
"I am giving you the most definite commitment any politician can give that this tax will go. This is a pledge in blood."[3]
If things remained as indicated by polls at the beginning of the month, Tony Abbott would face little resistance in his bid to claim head office in September, insisting that this election is a ''referendum on the carbon tax'[4]'. So once there, even though he would be unlikely to control the Senate outright, it is thought repealing the carbon price will be enthusiastically supported by conservative’s allies.

Any repeal of the pricing system will facilitate a rapid reversal in electricity through coal’s fall from prominence and severely undermine investment in the renewables industry.

Already its long-term validity is in question as beyond 2015, as carbon moves from a fixed to a floating price mechanism, the price per tonne could be as low as $8 AUS.

The long-term aspiration of the CEFA has been to link up with the EU ETS.

The hope is a multi-national cap-and-trade platform will encourage other nations to implement schemes and resultantly reduce the anti-competitive nature of unilateral implementation of domestic schemes.

Additionally, closer to home, it has often been suggested that combining the EU ETS with similar global schemes will provide a solution to the issue of carbon price volatility, which has hindered the success of its first two phases.

Encouraging signs for the Rudd government have begun to appear in recent weeks. The Newspoll survey of 9th July showed Labor are now tied with the Liberal Nationals; today’s Fairfax/Nielsen poll echoing this saying the two major parties each have 50 per cent of the two-party preferred vote - a seven-point gain for Labor on last month's result; and even the Roy Morgan Research of Monday 8th put Labor in front with 55% of the two-party preferred vote, compared with 45% support for the coalition.

Such a considerable swing in momentum, over such a short period of time, shows Rudd’s popularity with the electorate – an electorate who increasingly support the carbon tax. Should Rudd maintain this momentum to the polls a secure a miraculous new term for Labor, let’s hope he has learned from 2010 when his change of heart on the extent of the carbon pricing scheme spelled the end of his first term in office.